Statistics & DataSuperchallengeSampling and Experiments
Sampling and Experiments · Superchallenge problem
To ask about cheating on taxes, each respondent privately draws a card. With probability the card says "Answer: I have cheated on my taxes. True or false?" and with probability it says "Answer: I have NEVER cheated on my taxes. True or false?" The interviewer only hears "true" or "false", never which card was drawn. If of all answers are "true", what percent of the population would you estimate has cheated? (Assume everyone answers honestly.)