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Statistics & DataChallengeConfidence Intervals

Confidence Intervals · Challenge problem

A lab measures a quantity whose readings are normally distributed with unknown mean μ\mu. The lab believes the standard deviation is σ=10\sigma = 10 and always reports xˉ±1.96⋅10n\bar x \pm 1.96\cdot\dfrac{10}{\sqrt n} as its "95%95\%" interval for μ\mu. In fact the true standard deviation is 1515. What is the actual probability that such an interval contains μ\mu? Give your answer to four decimal places.