MathCastle
Counting & ProbabilitySuperchallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Superchallenge problem

A coin has an unknown probability pp of landing heads, and before any flips pp is equally likely to be anywhere in [0,1][0,1] (uniform). The coin is flipped three times and lands heads, heads, tails. Given this, what is the probability that p>12p>\tfrac12? Express your answer as a common fraction.