MathCastle
Counting & ProbabilitySuperchallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Superchallenge problem

A bag holds four dice: a 44-sided, a 66-sided, an 88-sided and a 1212-sided die, each fair and numbered from 11 up to its number of sides. One die is taken from the bag at random and rolled twice, showing 33 both times. If the same die is rolled a third time, what is the probability that it shows 33 again? Express your answer as a common fraction.