MathCastle
Counting & ProbabilitySuperchallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Superchallenge problem

A fair coin is flipped until either two heads in a row or three tails in a row appear, whichever happens first. Given that two heads in a row appear first, what is the probability that the very first flip was a head? Express your answer as a common fraction.