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Counting & ProbabilitySuperchallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Superchallenge problem

Ann and Bob each start with $2\$2. They play a sequence of independent rounds; Ann wins each round with probability 23\tfrac23, and the loser of a round pays the winner $1\$1. They stop when one of them has all $4\$4. Given that Ann ends up with all the money, what is the probability that she won the first round? Express your answer as a common fraction.