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Counting & ProbabilitySuperchallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Superchallenge problem

An urn contains 1010 balls, each red or blue. The number of red balls is unknown: before any draws, each of the values 0,1,2,…,100,1,2,\dots,10 is equally likely. Balls are drawn one at a time without replacement. The first two balls drawn are both red. What is the probability that the third ball is also red? Express your answer as a common fraction.