Counting & ProbabilityChallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes
Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Challenge problem
Ann and Bea take turns shooting at a target, Ann first, and the first to hit it wins. Ann hits on each of her shots with probability and Bea on each of hers with probability , independently. Given that Bea wins, what is the probability that she won with her very first shot? Express your answer as a common fraction.