Counting & ProbabilityChallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes
Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Challenge problem
In a town, a sunny day is followed by a sunny day with probability and by a rainy day with probability ; a rainy day is followed by a rainy day with probability and by a sunny day with probability . Today (day ) is sunny. Given that it rains on day , what is the probability that it rained on day ? Express your answer as a common fraction.