Counting & ProbabilityChallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes
Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Challenge problem
Teams and play a best-of-seven series: the first team to win games wins the series, and no further games are played. Team wins each game with probability , independently of the other games. Given that team wins the series, what is the probability that the series lasted all seven games? Express your answer as a common fraction.