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Counting & ProbabilityChallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Challenge problem

Teams AA and BB play a best-of-seven series: the first team to win 44 games wins the series, and no further games are played. Team AA wins each game with probability 23\dfrac23, independently of the other games. Given that team AA wins the series, what is the probability that the series lasted all seven games? Express your answer as a common fraction.