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Counting & ProbabilityHardExpected Value, Linearity & Advanced Probability

Expected Value, Linearity & Advanced Probability · Hard problem

A gambler starts with $2. Each round he gains $1 with probability 23\tfrac23 and loses $1 with probability 13\tfrac13. He stops upon reaching $0 or $5. Find the probability he reaches $5.

The answer is a fraction mn\tfrac{m}{n} in lowest terms; find m+nm + n.