MathCastle
Counting & ProbabilitySuperchallengeExpected Value, Linearity & Advanced Probability

Expected Value, Linearity & Advanced Probability · Superchallenge problem

A token starts at position 11 on {0,1,2,3}\{0,1,2,3\}. Each step it moves right with probability 23\tfrac23 and left with probability 13\tfrac13, stopping at 00 or 33. Find the expected number of steps until it stops.

The answer is a fraction mn\tfrac{m}{n} in lowest terms; find m+nm + n.