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Counting & ProbabilitySuperchallengeExpected Value, Linearity & Advanced Probability

Expected Value, Linearity & Advanced Probability · Superchallenge problem

In a random tournament on 77 teams, each game is won by either team with probability 12\tfrac12, independently. Find the expected number of cyclic triples (three teams each beating one and losing to one of the others).

The answer is a fraction mn\tfrac{m}{n} in lowest terms; find m+nm + n.