MathCastle
Counting & ProbabilityHardConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Hard problem

A rare condition has prevalence 11000\tfrac{1}{1000}. A screening test is 99%99\% accurate in the sense that both its sensitivity and its specificity equal 0.990.99. Given a positive result, find the probability the person actually has the condition. Report mn\dfrac{m}{n} and m+nm+n.