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Counting & ProbabilityHardConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Hard problem

Three factories supply a store: factory AA makes 50%50\% of items, BB makes 30%30\%, and CC makes 20%20\%. Their defect rates are 1%1\%, 2%2\%, and 3%3\% respectively. A randomly chosen item is defective. Find the probability it came from factory AA. Report mn\dfrac{m}{n} and m+nm+n.