MathCastle
Counting & ProbabilitySuperchallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Superchallenge problem

A Pólya urn starts with 11 red and 11 blue ball. A ball is drawn at random and returned together with an additional ball of the same color; this is repeated. After 33 draws, find the probability that exactly 22 of the drawn balls were red.

Express your answer as a common fraction.