MathCastle
Counting & ProbabilityChallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Challenge problem

A token starts at position 22. Each step it moves +1+1 with probability 13\tfrac13 and −1-1 with probability 23\tfrac23, independently, stopping at 00 or 66. Find the probability it is absorbed at 66.

Express your answer as a common fraction.