MathCastle
Counting & ProbabilitySuperchallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Superchallenge problem

A randomly selected student is a “genius” with probability 110\tfrac1{10}, in which case every answer is correct; otherwise the student answers each question correctly with independent probability 12\tfrac12. The student answers 33 questions, all correct. Find the probability the student is a genius.

Express your answer as a common fraction.