MathCastle
Counting & ProbabilityChallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Challenge problem

A generalized Monty Hall game has 44 doors, one hiding a car. You pick a door; the host, who knows the car's location, opens one other door (never the car) to reveal a goat. You then switch to one of the two remaining unopened doors. Find the probability you win the car.

Express your answer as a common fraction.