MathCastle
Counting & ProbabilityChallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Challenge problem

A box contains three coins with heads-probabilities 00, 12\tfrac12, and 11. A coin is chosen at random and flipped twice, giving heads both times. Find the probability that a third flip of the same coin is heads.

Express your answer as a common fraction.