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Counting & ProbabilitySuperchallengeConditional Probability, Independence & Bayes

Conditional Probability, Independence & Bayes · Superchallenge problem

Urn AA holds 22 white and 11 black ball; urn BB holds 11 white and 22 black. The first ball is drawn (with replacement) from urn AA. Thereafter, if the previous ball drawn was white the next is drawn from urn AA, and if black the next is drawn from urn BB. Find the probability that the third ball drawn is white.

Express your answer as a common fraction.